Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Tips

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Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 36 RCDE Stadium· Cornella de Llobregat Wednesday, May 13, 2026 17:00

Espanyol PPG 1.29

2-0 HIT CS5

Athletic Bilbao PPG 0.88

Home· +15.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.1%

Odds: 2.62 EV: +15.5%

Draw 28.9%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -5.4%

Away 27.0%

Odds: 2.68 EV: -16.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.4% Odds: 2.10 -0.5%

Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: 3.85 -7.1%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.83 -4.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Espanyol

1.34

Athletic Bilbao

1.10

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+15.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.88)