Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 36 Estadio El Sadar· Pamplona Tuesday, May 12, 2026 19:30

Osasuna PPG 1.88

1-2 HIT CS4

Atletico Madrid PPG 1.18

Draw· -2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 36.5%

Odds: 2.42 EV: -11.7%

Draw 28.0%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -2.0%

Away 35.5%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -4.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 48.5% Odds: 1.83 -11.2%

Over 3.5 25.2% Odds: 3.10 -13.1%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Osasuna

1.23

Atletico Madrid

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.18)