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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 36 Estadio de La Cartuja· Sevilla Tuesday, May 12, 2026 18:00
Real Betis logo Real Betis PPG 1.76
2-1 HIT CS2
Elche logo Elche PPG 0.41
Away· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.2%
Odds: 1.63 EV: -14.9%
Draw 25.4%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +2.5%
Away 22.4%
Odds: 4.70 EV: +3.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.65 -2.0%
Over 3.5 34.7% Odds: 2.65 -8.1%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.67 -8.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Betis
1.94
Elche
1.04

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -19.9%
Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.76) vs P(Home)=52.2%

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