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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 36 Estadio Abanca Balaídos· Vigo Tuesday, May 12, 2026 17:00
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo PPG 1.18
2-3 MISS
Levante logo Levante PPG 0.76
Away· +2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.74 EV: -10.6%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -3.8%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +2.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%
Over 3.5 31.0% Odds: 2.95 -8.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.73 -5.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo
1.73
Levante
1.08

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.76)

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