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Spain - La Liga
Regular Season - 36
Estadio Abanca Balaídos· Vigo
Tuesday, May 12, 2026
17:00
Celta Vigo
PPG 1.18
2-3
MISS
Levante
PPG 0.76
Away· +2.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.4%
Odds: 1.74
EV: -10.6%
Draw
25.0%
Odds: 3.75
EV: -3.8%
Away
23.6%
Odds: 4.40
EV: +2.3%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.3%
Odds: 1.80
-5.9%
Over 3.5
31.0%
Odds: 2.95
-8.6%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.73
-5.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo
1.73
Levante
1.08
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-5.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+2.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.76)