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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 12 Skonto stadions· Riga Tuesday, May 12, 2026 16:00
Riga FC logo Riga FC PPG 2.50
4-1 MISS
Auda logo Auda PPG 2.67
Over3.5· +34.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.3%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -24.1%
Draw 23.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -4.3%
Away 25.5%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +24.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.55 -1.9%
Over 3.5 57.4% Odds: 2.35 +34.9%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.60 +0.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Riga FC
2.32
Auda
1.72

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -1.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -16.4%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.50), Away EXCELLENT (2.67)

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