← Back to picks 
Latvia - Virsliga Tuesday, May 12, 2026 15:00 
Liepaja PPG 1.00 
Ogre United PPG 0.00
Latvia - Virsliga Tuesday, May 12, 2026 15:00 Liepaja PPG 1.004-1 MISS
Ogre United PPG 0.00Away· +53.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.55 -18.9%
Over 3.5 28.8% Odds: 2.38 -18.9%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.83 -4.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Liepaja 1.83
Ogre United 0.87
Model Suggestion
Home -32.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -32.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+53.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+53.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
NEUTRAL 40%
No PPG data