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Shakhtar U19 vs Obolon Kyiv U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 28 ·Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 08:00

Shakhtar U19

PPG 2.54 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Obolon Kyiv U19

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.54), Away AVERAGE (1.46) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-11.8%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.5%1-15.3%1-22.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.9%2-18.0%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.9%3-18.1%3-23.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-015.9%4+-112.9%4+-25.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.3% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 9.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 68% / xG 3.0-0.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.9%

#2 2–0 9.9%

#3 3–1 8.1%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 4–0✓ 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shakhtar U193.0

Obolon Kyiv U190.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAKHTAR U19 · PPG 2.54

OBOLON KYIV U19 · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.54), Away AVERAGE (1.46) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Shakhtar U19 (H) 68.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Obolon Kyiv U19 (A) 9.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shakhtar U19 face Obolon Kyiv U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shakhtar U19 a 68% chance, the draw 22% and Obolon Kyiv U19 9%, so Shakhtar U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Shakhtar U19 and 0.8 for Obolon Kyiv U19 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shakhtar U19 are averaging 2.54 points per game versus 1.46 for Obolon Kyiv U19. This match finished 4-0.

Shakhtar U19 vs Obolon Kyiv U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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