Barendrecht vs Spakenburg Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 30 Sports Centre de Bongerd Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:30

Barendrecht PPG 1.64

0-3 MISS

Spakenburg PPG 1.29

BTTS· +18.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -4.8%

Draw 16.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -39.0%

Away 54.2%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -0.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 92.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 82.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 88.0% Odds: 1.35 +18.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-3 ✘

2nd 2-2 ✘

3rd 3-3 ✘

4th 2-4 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Barendrecht

2.47

Spakenburg

3.25

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)