ACV Assen vs HHC Hardenberg Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 30 Sportpark ICT Specialist· Assen Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:30

ACV Assen PPG 0.93

0-2 HIT CS3

HHC Hardenberg PPG 1.36

Away· +21.9% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

ACV Assen face HHC Hardenberg in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ACV Assen a 18% chance, the draw 19% and HHC Hardenberg 64%, so HHC Hardenberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for ACV Assen and 2.4 for HHC Hardenberg (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ACV Assen are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.36 for HHC Hardenberg. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.9%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -45.1%

Draw 18.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -35.3%

Away 63.8%

Odds: 1.91 EV: +21.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.7% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 48.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.50 -4.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✔

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

ACV Assen

1.20

HHC Hardenberg

2.40

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5/Under 69%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 28%

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.93) vs Away AVERAGE (1.36)