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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 35 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas· Madrid Monday, May 11, 2026 19:00
Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano PPG 1.59
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Girona logo Girona PPG 0.94
Home· +9.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.0%
Odds: 2.32 EV: +9.0%
Draw 28.9%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -1.9%
Away 24.2%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -17.2%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.80 -17.6%
Over 3.5 19.2% Odds: 3.00 -25.4%
BTTS 50.0% Odds: 1.62 -19.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayo Vallecano
1.34
Girona
0.91

Model Suggestion

BTTS -19.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -19.9%
Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away POOR (0.94)

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