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Vitória BA W vs Juventude W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 10 ·Monday, May 11, 2026, 18:00

Vitória BA W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Juventude W

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-116.3%0-27.7%0-32.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-014.0%1-113.2%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.7%2-15.4%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.5%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 33.1% — —

Draw 32.6% — —

Away win 34.3% — —

Over 2.5 34.7% — —

Over 3.5 10.2% — —

BTTS 45.9% — —

Win probability 1X2

Vitória BA W (H) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventude W (A) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -67.8%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.9%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.2%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.3%

#4 1–0 14.0%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitória BA W0.8

Juventude W0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.7% · O3.5 PROB 10.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VITÓRIA BA W · PPG 0.50

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.50), Away POOR (0.60)

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitória BA W face Juventude W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitória BA W a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Juventude W 34%, so Juventude W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vitória BA W and 0.9 for Juventude W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitória BA W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Juventude W. This match finished 0-3.

Vitória BA W vs Juventude W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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