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Latvia - Virsliga Monday, May 11, 2026 17:00 
Super Nova PPG 0.25 
Tukums PPG 0.50
Latvia - Virsliga Monday, May 11, 2026 17:00 Super Nova PPG 0.251-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Tukums PPG 0.50Over3.5· +33.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.80 +13.9%
Over 3.5 44.5% Odds: 3.00 +33.5%
BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.65 -1.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-2 ✘
4th 1-3 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova 1.36
Tukums 2.06
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +13.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+33.5%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+33.5%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 43 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -16.4%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
BALANCED 60%
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.25), Away POOR (0.50)