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Unia Skierniewi vs Resovia Rzeszow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 17:30

Unia Skierniewi

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Resovia Rzeszow

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.7%0-22.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.6%1-19.5%1-25.9%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.3%3-16.6%3-24.1%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-15.4%4+-23.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 61.7% 1.62 -20.1%

Draw 25.6% 28.6% 3.50 -6.2%

Away win 25.1% 22.7% 4.40 +6.3%

Over 2.5 60.2% 62.5% 1.60 -3.7%

Over 3.5 41.6% 40.0% 2.50 +4.0%

BTTS 58.8% 63.7% 1.57 -7.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1✓ 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Unia Skierniewi2.0

Resovia Rzeszow1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIA SKIERNIEWI · PPG 2.00

RESOVIA RZESZOW · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Unia Skierniewi (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -20.1%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.2%

Resovia Rzeszow (A) 25.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Unia Skierniewi face Resovia Rzeszow in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Unia Skierniewi a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Resovia Rzeszow 25%, so Unia Skierniewi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Unia Skierniewi and 1.2 for Resovia Rzeszow (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Unia Skierniewi are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.13 for Resovia Rzeszow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Unia Skierniewi vs Resovia Rzeszow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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