Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.60 -3.7%
Over 3.5 41.6% Odds: 2.50 +4.0%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.57 -7.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -3.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 58 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 23.1%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.3%