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Real Oviedo vs Getafe Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Regular Season - 35 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 16:30

Real Oviedo

PPG 1.06 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Getafe

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.7%0-117.4%0-28.1%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.9%1-113.0%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.2%2-14.8%2-22.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.3%3-11.2%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% 35.2% 2.84 -13.5%

Draw 35.6% 32.8% 3.05 +8.6%

Away win 37.0% 39.1% 2.56 -5.3%

Over 2.5 35.1% 38.2% 2.62 -8.0%

Over 3.5 9.0% 19.0% 5.25 -31.6%

BTTS 45.9% 46.5% 2.15 -1.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 15.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.9%

D 36% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 18.7%

#2 0–1 17.4%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 1–0 13.9%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Oviedo0.7

Getafe0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 9.0%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL OVIEDO · PPG 1.06

GETAFE · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Win probability 1X2

Real Oviedo (H) 27.3%

ODDS 2.84 · IMPLIED 35.2% EV -13.5%

Draw 35.6%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +8.6%

Getafe (A) 37.0%

ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV -5.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Oviedo face Getafe in Spain - La Liga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Oviedo a 27% chance, the draw 36% and Getafe 37%, so Getafe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Real Oviedo and 0.9 for Getafe (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Oviedo are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.35 for Getafe. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Real Oviedo vs Getafe Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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