FC Koln vs Heidenheim Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 33 RheinEnergieStadion· Cologne Sunday, May 10, 2026 15:30

FC Koln PPG 1.19

1-3 MISS

Heidenheim PPG 0.38

Over3.5· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.0%

Odds: 1.94 EV: -3.0%

Draw 24.7%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -3.7%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -7.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.48 -8.7%

Over 3.5 47.7% Odds: 2.15 +2.5%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.42 -16.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Koln

2.26

Heidenheim

1.31

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -8.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.19) vs P(Home)=50.0%