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Stomilanki O. W vs Rekord B. W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:45

Stomilanki O. W

PPG 0.40 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Rekord B. W

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-15.9%0-27.7%0-36.6%0-4+8.1%1 1-02.7%1-17.0%1-29.1%1-37.9%1-4+9.6%2 2-01.6%2-14.2%2-25.4%2-34.7%2-4+5.7%3 3-00.6%3-11.6%3-22.1%3-31.8%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.9% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 63.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 52.3% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob58.8%

A 64% / xG 1.2-2.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.1%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 1–3✓ 7.9%

#4 0–2 7.7%

#5 0–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stomilanki O. W1.2

Rekord B. W2.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 52.3%

Form & verdict PPG

STOMILANKI O. W · PPG 0.40

REKORD B. W · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Stomilanki O. W (H) 14.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rekord B. W (A) 63.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stomilanki O. W face Rekord B. W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stomilanki O. W a 15% chance, the draw 22% and Rekord B. W 64%, so Rekord B. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stomilanki O. W and 2.6 for Rekord B. W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stomilanki O. W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.56 for Rekord B. W. This match finished 1-3.

Stomilanki O. W vs Rekord B. W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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