Mallorca vs Villarreal Prediction & Tips

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Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 35 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix· Palma de Mallorca Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:00

Mallorca PPG 1.71

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Villarreal PPG 1.47

Away· +16.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.6%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -22.7%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -6.5%

Away 41.0%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +16.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 1.65 -10.1%

Over 3.5 31.9% Odds: 2.60 -17.1%

BTTS 57.9% Odds: 1.53 -11.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca

1.26

Villarreal

1.59

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.47)