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Mixto W vs Bahia W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 21:00

Mixto W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Bahia W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-114.0%0-212.1%0-36.9%0-4+4.4%1 1-06.4%1-111.0%1-29.5%1-35.4%1-4+3.5%2 2-02.5%2-14.3%2-23.7%2-32.1%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.7%3-11.1%3-21.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.6% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 58.3% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 24.4% — — —

BTTS 51.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob51.5%

A 58% / xG 0.8-1.7 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.0%

#2 0–1 14.0%

#3 0–2 12.1%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 1–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mixto W0.8

Bahia W1.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MIXTO W · PPG 1.00

BAHIA W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Mixto W (H) 15.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bahia W (A) 58.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mixto W face Bahia W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mixto W a 16% chance, the draw 26% and Bahia W 58%, so Bahia W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Mixto W and 1.7 for Bahia W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mixto W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Bahia W. This match finished 1-1.

Mixto W vs Bahia W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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