Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 78.8% Odds: 1.25 -1.5%
Over 3.5 73.7% Odds: 1.65 +21.6%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.30 -23.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-3 ✘
2nd 1-4 ✘
3rd 0-3 ✘
4th 0-4 ✘
5th 1-5 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -1.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity UPSET_VALUE Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.63) vs Home POOR (0.63)