Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 35 Metropolitano Stadium· Madrid Saturday, May 9, 2026 16:30

Atletico Madrid PPG 2.53

0-1 MISS

Celta Vigo PPG 1.59

Home· +4.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Home 49.3%

Odds: 2.12 EV: +4.5%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -7.0%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -11.1%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 52.9% Odds: 1.70 -10.1%

Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 2.70 -14.1%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.57 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Atletico Madrid

1.67

Celta Vigo

1.02

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.53) vs P(Home)=49.3%