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Poland - II Liga - East logo Poland flag Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 31 Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego· Grudziądz Saturday, May 9, 2026 16:00
O. Grudziadz logo O. Grudziadz PPG 2.13
2-0 HIT CS3
Rekord Bielsko logo Rekord Bielsko PPG 1.29
Away· +9.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -20.1%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -6.2%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +9.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.60 -3.7%
Over 3.5 41.8% Odds: 2.50 +4.5%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.57 -7.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

O. Grudziadz
2.09
Rekord Bielsko
1.20

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 23.1%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=49.3%

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