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Biel-Bienne vs Schaffhausen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:30

Biel-Bienne

PPG 2.20 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Schaffhausen

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-13.7%0-22.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.7%1-18.4%1-25.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.5%2-19.5%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.7%3-17.2%3-24.5%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-16.8%4+-24.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.0% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 25.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 46.7% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.8%

H 50% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Biel-Bienne2.3

Schaffhausen1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 2.20

SCHAFFHAUSEN · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=50.0%

Win probability 1X2

Biel-Bienne (H) 50.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schaffhausen (A) 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Biel-Bienne face Schaffhausen in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Biel-Bienne a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Schaffhausen 25%, so Biel-Bienne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Biel-Bienne and 1.3 for Schaffhausen (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Biel-Bienne are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.40 for Schaffhausen. This match finished 1-0.

Biel-Bienne vs Schaffhausen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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