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P. Tczew W vs P. Szczecin W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00

P. Tczew W

PPG 0.25 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

P. Szczecin W

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-13.0%0-26.6%0-39.8%0-4+36.9%1 1-00.4%1-11.7%1-23.7%1-35.5%1-4+20.7%2 2-00.1%2-10.5%2-21.0%2-31.5%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.2%3-30.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.5% — — —

Draw 18.7% — — —

Away win 71.8% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 73.5% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 71%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)4.4 BTTS prob48.2%

A 72% / xG 0.6-4.4 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 10.9%

#2 0–3✓ 9.8%

#3 0–5 9.7%

#4 0–2 6.6%

#5 1–4 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Tczew W0.6

P. Szczecin W4.4

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 73.5%

Form & verdict PPG

P. TCZEW W · PPG 0.25

P. SZCZECIN W · PPG 2.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

P. Tczew W (H) 9.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

P. Szczecin W (A) 71.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Tczew W face P. Szczecin W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Tczew W a 10% chance, the draw 19% and P. Szczecin W 72%, so P. Szczecin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for P. Tczew W and 4.4 for P. Szczecin W (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Tczew W are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 2.11 for P. Szczecin W. This match finished 0-3.

P. Tczew W vs P. Szczecin W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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