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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 35 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán· Sevilla Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:15
Sevilla FC logo Sevilla FC PPG 1.29
2-1 HIT CS4
Espanyol logo Espanyol PPG 1.00
Over2.5· +10.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.3%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -9.2%
Draw 28.0%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -3.7%
Away 27.7%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -1.0%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.4% Odds: 2.20 +10.9%
Over 3.5 25.9% Odds: 4.20 +5.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.95 +6.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla FC
1.42
Espanyol
1.16

Model Suggestion

BTTS +6.5% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+10.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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