Today / Austria - Frauenliga / St. Polten W vs FC Salzburg W

St. Polten W vs FC Salzburg W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Championship Group - 21 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

St. Polten W

PPG 2.36 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

FC Salzburg W

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.36) > Away GOOD (1.78)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.0%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.3%1-13.5%1-21.5%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.8%2-16.4%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.3%3-17.7%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-021.3%4+-117.5%4+-27.2%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.7% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 8.7% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 64.5% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.6%

H 71% / xG 3.6-0.8 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0✓ 9.3%

#2 4–0 8.4%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 4–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Polten W3.6

FC Salzburg W0.8

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 64.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. POLTEN W · PPG 2.36

FC SALZBURG W · PPG 1.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.36) > Away GOOD (1.78)

Win probability 1X2

St. Polten W (H) 70.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Salzburg W (A) 8.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Polten W face FC Salzburg W in Austria - Frauenliga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Polten W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and FC Salzburg W 9%, so St. Polten W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for St. Polten W and 0.8 for FC Salzburg W (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Polten W are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 1.78 for FC Salzburg W. This match finished 3-0.

St. Polten W vs FC Salzburg W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Austria - Frauenliga Predictions