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Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30 
Katwijk PPG 1.67 
Koninklijke HFC PPG 0.47
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30 Katwijk PPG 1.674-0 MISS
Koninklijke HFC PPG 0.47Away· +15.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 57.2% Odds: 1.50 -14.2%
Over 3.5 32.3% Odds: 2.10 -32.2%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.53 -16.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Katwijk 1.81
Koninklijke HFC 1.05
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+15.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+15.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 29 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 72%
O2.5/Under 69%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 28%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=49.3%