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Nordlingen vs 1860 Munchen B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:30

Nordlingen

PPG 1.93 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

1860 Munchen B

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.8%0-27.8%0-35.2%0-4+4.1%1 1-04.9%1-19.7%1-29.7%1-36.5%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.0%2-16.1%2-26.0%2-34.0%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.3%3-12.5%3-22.5%3-31.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.0%4+-21.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.6% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 49.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.7% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob58.8%

A 49% / xG 1.2-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 7.8%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 0–1✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nordlingen1.2

1860 Munchen B2.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NORDLINGEN · PPG 1.93

1860 MUNCHEN B · PPG 1.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.93), Away GOOD (1.79)

Win probability 1X2

Nordlingen (H) 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

1860 Munchen B (A) 49.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nordlingen face 1860 Munchen B in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nordlingen a 26% chance, the draw 25% and 1860 Munchen B 49%, so 1860 Munchen B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Nordlingen and 2.0 for 1860 Munchen B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nordlingen are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.79 for 1860 Munchen B. This match finished 0-1.

Nordlingen vs 1860 Munchen B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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