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T. Neckarsulm vs Aalen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:30

T. Neckarsulm

PPG 0.80 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Aalen

PPG 2.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-18.4%0-210.6%0-38.9%0-4+10.3%1 1-02.9%1-17.4%1-29.3%1-37.8%1-4+9.1%2 2-01.3%2-13.2%2-24.1%2-33.4%2-4+4.0%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-21.2%3-31.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 44.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob54.6%

A 66% / xG 0.9-2.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.6%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 0–3 8.9%

#4 1–1 7.4%

#5 1–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Neckarsulm0.9

Aalen2.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 44.3%

Form & verdict PPG

T. NECKARSULM · PPG 0.80

AALEN · PPG 2.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

T. Neckarsulm (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aalen (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Neckarsulm face Aalen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Neckarsulm a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Aalen 66%, so Aalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for T. Neckarsulm and 2.5 for Aalen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Neckarsulm are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 2.57 for Aalen. This match finished 0-4.

T. Neckarsulm vs Aalen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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