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Reutlingen vs Hollenbach Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:30

Reutlingen

PPG 1.53 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hollenbach

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.8%0-23.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.9%1-19.5%1-26.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.5%3-16.2%3-24.3%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.9%4+-23.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.3% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reutlingen2.0

Hollenbach1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.3%

Form & verdict PPG

REUTLINGEN · PPG 1.53

HOLLENBACH · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

Reutlingen (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hollenbach (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Reutlingen face Hollenbach in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reutlingen a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Hollenbach 25%, so Reutlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Reutlingen and 1.4 for Hollenbach (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reutlingen are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.87 for Hollenbach. This match finished 5-2.

Reutlingen vs Hollenbach Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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