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Germany - Bundesliga
Regular Season - 33
MHPArena· Stuttgart
Saturday, May 9, 2026
13:30
Stuttgart
PPG 2.25
3-1
HIT CS5
Leverkusen
PPG 1.75
Draw· -0.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
41.4%
Odds: 2.15
EV: -11.0%
Draw
25.0%
Odds: 3.95
EV: -0.8%
Away
33.6%
Odds: 2.84
EV: -4.6%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
61.7%
Odds: 1.33
-17.9%
Over 3.5
46.5%
Odds: 1.83
-14.9%
BTTS
62.5%
Odds: 1.30
-18.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
2-2
✘
5th
3-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Stuttgart
1.90
Leverkusen
1.61
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-18.8%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 45 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
53%
O2.5/Under
73%
BTTS/No
76%
Score Hit
49%
ROI
1.8%
Bet Hit
63%
(16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.75)