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Germany - Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 33 MHPArena· Stuttgart Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30
Stuttgart logo Stuttgart PPG 2.25
3-1 HIT CS5
Leverkusen logo Leverkusen PPG 1.75
Draw· -0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.4%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -11.0%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -0.8%
Away 33.6%
Odds: 2.84 EV: -4.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.33 -17.9%
Over 3.5 46.5% Odds: 1.83 -14.9%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.30 -18.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Stuttgart
1.90
Leverkusen
1.61

Model Suggestion

BTTS -18.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 73%
BTTS/No 76%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.75)

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