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Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30 
RB Leipzig PPG 2.19 
Sankt Pauli PPG 0.56
Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30 RB Leipzig PPG 2.192-1 HIT CS3
Sankt Pauli PPG 0.56Away· +39.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.48 -10.9%
Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: 2.15 -16.2%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.77 -7.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig 2.38
Sankt Pauli 0.79
Model Suggestion
Home -21.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+39.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+39.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 45 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 73%
BTTS/No 76%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs P(Home)=60.9%