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Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30 
Hoffenheim PPG 1.81 
Werder Bremen PPG 0.81
Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30 Hoffenheim PPG 1.811-0 MISS
Werder Bremen PPG 0.81Away· +14.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.38 -14.8%
Over 3.5 46.4% Odds: 1.93 -10.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hoffenheim 2.37
Werder Bremen 1.13
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 45 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 73%
BTTS/No 76%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=52.7%