FC Augsburg vs Monchengladbach Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 33 WWK Arena· Augsburg Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:30

FC Augsburg PPG 1.44

3-1 MISS

Monchengladbach PPG 0.88

Away· +1.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -14.1%

Draw 26.3%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -0.8%

Away 30.3%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +1.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.53 -18.8%

Over 3.5 31.5% Odds: 2.30 -27.6%

BTTS 57.6% Odds: 1.48 -14.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg

1.53

Monchengladbach

1.29

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 73%

BTTS/No 76%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 1.8%

Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.88)