Rijnsburgse B. vs Jong Sparta Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 32 Sportpark Middelmors· Rijnsburg Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:30

Rijnsburgse B. PPG 1.80

4-2 MISS

Jong Sparta PPG 1.40

Away· +17.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.0%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -32.0%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +9.7%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +17.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.25 -12.8%

Over 3.5 63.7% Odds: 1.60 +1.9%

BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.36 -9.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 3-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Rijnsburgse B.

2.53

Jong Sparta

1.85

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -12.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-12.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)