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TSV Essingen vs Ravensburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:30

TSV Essingen

PPG 1.87 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ravensburg

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.2%0-24.0%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.3%1-19.6%1-27.4%1-33.8%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.6%3-15.5%3-24.2%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.9%4+-23.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 30.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.5% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 59.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.2%

H 44% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TSV Essingen1.9

Ravensburg1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TSV ESSINGEN · PPG 1.87

RAVENSBURG · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.87), Away GOOD (1.86)

Win probability 1X2

TSV Essingen (H) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ravensburg (A) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TSV Essingen face Ravensburg in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TSV Essingen a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Ravensburg 30%, so TSV Essingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for TSV Essingen and 1.5 for Ravensburg (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TSV Essingen are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.86 for Ravensburg. This match finished 0-5.

TSV Essingen vs Ravensburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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