Portsmouth vs Leicester City Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 43 Fratton Park· Portsmouth Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:30

Portsmouth PPG 1.24

1-0 HIT CS2

Leicester City PPG 1.00

Home· +4.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Portsmouth face Leicester City in England - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portsmouth a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Leicester City 28%, so Portsmouth are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Portsmouth and 1.1 for Leicester City (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portsmouth are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.00 for Leicester City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.2%

Odds: 2.26 EV: +4.4%

Draw 26.1%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -15.2%

Away 27.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -14.1%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.8% Odds: 2.10 -1.7%

Over 3.5 25.2% Odds: 3.80 -4.2%

BTTS 50.7% Odds: 1.83 -7.2%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Portsmouth

1.47

Leicester City

1.07

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -1.0%

Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.24), Away AVERAGE (1.00)