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Villingen vs VfR Mannheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Villingen

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VfR Mannheim

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-17.5%0-28.2%0-36.0%0-4+5.5%1 1-04.0%1-18.9%1-29.7%1-37.1%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.4%2-15.2%2-25.7%2-34.2%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.9%3-12.1%3-22.3%3-31.7%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.0% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 54.2% — — —

Over 2.5 61.0% — — —

Over 3.5 43.6% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob58.8%

A 54% / xG 1.2-2.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.2%

#4 1–3 7.1%

#5 0–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villingen1.2

VfR Mannheim2.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLINGEN · PPG 1.67

VFR MANNHEIM · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Villingen (H) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VfR Mannheim (A) 54.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Villingen face VfR Mannheim in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villingen a 22% chance, the draw 24% and VfR Mannheim 54%, so VfR Mannheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Villingen and 2.2 for VfR Mannheim (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villingen are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.33 for VfR Mannheim. This match finished 3-3.

Villingen vs VfR Mannheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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