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Pforzheim vs Goppinger SV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Pforzheim

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Goppinger SV

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.1%0-23.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-05.9%1-18.7%1-26.3%1-33.1%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.3%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.4%3-16.4%3-24.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-15.6%4+-24.1%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 47.9% — — —

BTTS 62.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.0%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 2–2✓ 6.7%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pforzheim2.1

Goppinger SV1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PFORZHEIM · PPG 1.33

GOPPINGER SV · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Pforzheim (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Goppinger SV (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pforzheim face Goppinger SV in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pforzheim a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Goppinger SV 25%, so Pforzheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Pforzheim and 1.5 for Goppinger SV (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pforzheim are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.07 for Goppinger SV. This match finished 2-2.

Pforzheim vs Goppinger SV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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