Millwall vs QP Rangers Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 43 The Den· London Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:30

Millwall PPG 1.71

2-0 HIT CS3

QP Rangers PPG 1.19

Home· +0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Millwall face QP Rangers in England - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Millwall a 59% chance, the draw 22% and QP Rangers 19%, so Millwall are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Millwall and 0.9 for QP Rangers (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Millwall are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.19 for QP Rangers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +0.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.0%

Odds: 1.70 EV: +0.3%

Draw 22.3%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -15.3%

Away 18.7%

Odds: 4.60 EV: -14.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.6% Odds: 1.80 -3.5%

Over 3.5 31.4% Odds: 3.00 -5.8%

BTTS 51.9% Odds: 1.75 -9.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Millwall

1.87

QP Rangers

0.95

Model SuggestionHome +0.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)