Elche vs Alaves Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 35 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero· Elche Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:00

Elche PPG 1.82

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Alaves PPG 0.71

Home· +9.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Home 49.3%

Odds: 2.22 EV: +9.4%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -10.8%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -11.1%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.93 +2.5%

Over 3.5 29.6% Odds: 3.35 -0.5%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.73 -5.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Elche

1.65

Alaves

1.10

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.82) vs P(Home)=49.3%