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SK Poltava U19 vs Shakhtar U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 09:00

SK Poltava U19

PPG 0.62 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Shakhtar U19

PPG 2.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-13.9%0-27.9%0-310.6%0-4+31.1%1 1-00.6%1-12.4%1-24.8%1-36.4%1-4+18.9%2 2-00.2%2-10.7%2-21.5%2-31.9%2-4+5.7%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.3%3-30.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.6% — — —

Draw 18.9% — — —

Away win 71.4% — — —

Over 2.5 73.3% — — —

Over 3.5 67.9% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)4.0 BTTS prob51.0%

A 71% / xG 0.6-4.0 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 10.7%

#2 0–3 10.6%

#3 0–5 8.6%

#4 0–2 7.9%

#5 1–4 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SK Poltava U190.6

Shakhtar U194.0

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 67.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SK POLTAVA U19 · PPG 0.62

SHAKHTAR U19 · PPG 2.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.62) vs Home POOR (0.62)

Win probability 1X2

SK Poltava U19 (H) 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shakhtar U19 (A) 71.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SK Poltava U19 face Shakhtar U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SK Poltava U19 a 10% chance, the draw 19% and Shakhtar U19 71%, so Shakhtar U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for SK Poltava U19 and 4.0 for Shakhtar U19 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SK Poltava U19 are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 2.62 for Shakhtar U19. This match finished 2-3.

SK Poltava U19 vs Shakhtar U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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