Dortmund vs E. Frankfurt Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 33 Signal Iduna Park· Dortmund Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30

Dortmund PPG 2.38

3-2 MISS

E. Frankfurt PPG 1.19

Away· +5.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.0%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -13.0%

Draw 20.7%

Odds: 4.85 EV: +0.2%

Away 21.3%

Odds: 5.10 EV: +5.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.36 -16.1%

Over 3.5 53.4% Odds: 1.90 +1.5%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.44 -15.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dortmund

2.63

E. Frankfurt

1.20

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -16.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-16.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs P(Home)=58.0%