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Stalowa Wola vs Sokol Kleczew Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 31 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 18:00

Stalowa Wola

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sokol Kleczew

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-15.5%0-23.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.1%1-110.3%1-26.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.7%3-16.0%3-23.8%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.3%4+-22.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 66.7% 1.50 -26.1%

Draw 25.6% 26.7% 3.75 -2.4%

Away win 25.1% 20.0% 5.00 +15.3%

Over 2.5 60.2% 65.4% 1.53 -7.9%

Over 3.5 38.4% 44.4% 2.25 -13.6%

BTTS 58.8% 59.9% 1.67 -1.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stalowa Wola1.9

Sokol Kleczew1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 38.4%

Form & verdict PPG

STALOWA WOLA · PPG 1.33

SOKOL KLECZEW · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Stalowa Wola (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -26.1%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -2.4%

Sokol Kleczew (A) 25.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stalowa Wola face Sokol Kleczew in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stalowa Wola a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Sokol Kleczew 25%, so Stalowa Wola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Stalowa Wola and 1.3 for Sokol Kleczew (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stalowa Wola are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Sokol Kleczew. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.3%. This match finished 3-0.

Stalowa Wola vs Sokol Kleczew Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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