Today / Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd / S. Hauzenberg vs Geretsried

S. Hauzenberg vs Geretsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 33 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

S. Hauzenberg

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Geretsried

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-111.8%0-29.1%0-34.6%0-4+2.5%1 1-07.9%1-112.2%1-29.3%1-34.8%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.1%2-16.3%2-24.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.4%3-12.2%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.5% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 45.3% — — —

Over 2.5 48.2% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob53.0%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1 11.8%

#3 0–0 7.7%

#4 1–2 9.3%

#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Hauzenberg1.0

Geretsried1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.2% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

S. HAUZENBERG · PPG 1.14

GERETSRIED · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

S. Hauzenberg (H) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Geretsried (A) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Hauzenberg face Geretsried in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Hauzenberg a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Geretsried 45%, so Geretsried are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for S. Hauzenberg and 1.5 for Geretsried (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Hauzenberg are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.13 for Geretsried. This match finished 1-4.

S. Hauzenberg vs Geretsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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