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Backnang vs Bissingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 31 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 16:30

Backnang

PPG 1.27 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bissingen

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.5%0-22.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-03.7%1-16.3%1-25.4%1-33.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.6%2-17.9%2-26.8%2-33.9%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.8%3-16.6%3-25.7%3-33.2%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-17.5%4+-26.5%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 61.0% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 50% / xG 2.5-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 1–1 6.3%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Backnang2.5

Bissingen1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 61.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BACKNANG · PPG 1.27

BISSINGEN · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.27) > Away POOR (0.53)

Win probability 1X2

Backnang (H) 50.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bissingen (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Backnang face Bissingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Backnang a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Bissingen 26%, so Backnang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Backnang and 1.7 for Bissingen (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Backnang are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.53 for Bissingen. This match finished 0-3.

Backnang vs Bissingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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