RFS vs Liepaja Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 11 LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass· Riga Friday, May 8, 2026 16:00

RFS PPG 2.00

5-0 MISS

Liepaja PPG 1.40

Away· +48.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%

Odds: 1.33 EV: -32.2%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 4.40 EV: +9.7%

Away 22.6%

Odds: 8.00 EV: +48.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.65 -23.3%

Over 3.5 24.2% Odds: 2.60 -22.3%

BTTS 51.0% Odds: 1.85 -5.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

RFS

1.74

Liepaja

0.76

Model SuggestionHome -32.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -32.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+48.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)