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LKS Lodz B vs Swit Skolwin Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 31 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 15:00

LKS Lodz B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Swit Skolwin

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-17.8%0-26.5%0-33.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-06.5%1-110.9%1-29.1%1-35.0%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.5%2-17.6%2-26.3%2-33.5%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.1%3-13.5%3-22.9%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.7%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% 44.4% 2.25 -22.4%

Draw 25.1% 30.8% 3.25 -11.1%

Away win 40.4% 38.2% 2.62 +5.9%

Over 2.5 59.3% 60.6% 1.65 -2.2%

Over 3.5 36.6% 40.0% 2.50 -8.5%

BTTS 58.8% 66.7% 1.50 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob58.8%

A 40% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LKS Lodz B1.4

Swit Skolwin1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LKS LODZ B · PPG 1.00

SWIT SKOLWIN · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

LKS Lodz B (H) 34.5%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -22.4%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -11.1%

Swit Skolwin (A) 40.4%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

LKS Lodz B face Swit Skolwin in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LKS Lodz B a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Swit Skolwin 40%, so Swit Skolwin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for LKS Lodz B and 1.7 for Swit Skolwin (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LKS Lodz B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.07 for Swit Skolwin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.9%. This match finished 1-1.

LKS Lodz B vs Swit Skolwin Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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