Daugavpils vs Riga FC Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - Virsliga Friday, May 8, 2026 14:30

Daugavpils PPG 1.80

1-3 HIT CS4

Riga FC PPG 2.17

Home· +17.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.7%

Odds: 8.80 EV: +17.6%

Draw 22.7%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +8.1%

Away 62.5%

Odds: 1.28 EV: -20.0%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.50 -7.4%

Over 3.5 49.8% Odds: 2.20 +9.6%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.80 +5.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✔

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Daugavpils

1.13

Riga FC

2.53

Model SuggestionAway -20.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-20.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 61%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.80) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.17)