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Obolon Kyiv U19 vs Epitsentr U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 11:00

Obolon Kyiv U19

PPG 1.38 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Epitsentr U19

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-14.5%0-22.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.0%1-19.5%1-25.0%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.6%3-16.9%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-15.9%4+-23.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 38.6% — — —

BTTS 56.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob56.8%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 9.0%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Obolon Kyiv U192.1

Epitsentr U191.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

OBOLON KYIV U19 · PPG 1.38

EPITSENTR U19 · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.62)

Win probability 1X2

Obolon Kyiv U19 (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Epitsentr U19 (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Obolon Kyiv U19 face Epitsentr U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Obolon Kyiv U19 a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Epitsentr U19 23%, so Obolon Kyiv U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Obolon Kyiv U19 and 1.1 for Epitsentr U19 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Obolon Kyiv U19 are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.62 for Epitsentr U19. This match finished 1-1.

Obolon Kyiv U19 vs Epitsentr U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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