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Rukh U19 vs Veres Rivne U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 10:00

Rukh U19 logo
Rukh U19
PPG 1.54 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Veres Rivne U19 logo
Veres Rivne U19
PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.2%0-25.0%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.0%1-111.2%1-27.9%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-18.8%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.3%3-14.6%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.6%4+-21.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.6%
Draw 24.9%
Away win 34.5%
Over 2.5 59.3%
Over 3.5 34.8%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.8%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 2–1 8.8%
#3 1–2 7.9%
#4 0–0 5.1%
#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rukh U191.6
Veres Rivne U191.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RUKH U19 · PPG 1.54

VERES RIVNE U19 · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Rukh U19 (H) 40.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Veres Rivne U19 (A) 34.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rukh U19 face Veres Rivne U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rukh U19 a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Veres Rivne U19 35%, so Rukh U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rukh U19 and 1.4 for Veres Rivne U19 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rukh U19 are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.23 for Veres Rivne U19. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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